Corona Third wave SBI Research| Corona Third Wave: ‘Third wave of Covid’ likely to hit India in August, peak in September: SBI Research, Third wave of Covid likely to hit India in August peak in September according to t
- Only 4.6% of the population in India has been fully vaccinated
- “India has achieved its second wave peak on 7th May”
- “With peak cases, cases may start rising by the second fortnight of August 21”
New Delhi: The third wave of the dreaded corona virus is likely to hit India by mid-August, while cases may peak in September. This apprehension has been expressed in a report released on Monday. However, the second wave in India is not over yet. Global data shows that on average, third wave cases are about 1.7 times the peak cases at the time of the second wave.
In India, only 4.6 percent of the population has been fully vaccinated, while 20.8 percent have received a single dose, which is the US (47.1 percent), the UK (48.7 percent), Israel (59.8 percent), Spain (38.5 percent), France ( 31.2) is much lower in comparison to other countries.
According to the report, Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor, State Bank of India, said, “India has achieved its second wave peak on May 7 and as per the current data, the country is experiencing around 10,000 cases in the second week of July. could.”
He said “However, based on historical trends, cases may start rising by the second fortnight of August 21 with peak cases at least a month later.” Indicates that the devastating second wave is “not yet over in the country.”
“51 cases of Delta Plus variant have been detected from 12 states so far”
“Even in the first wave, there was a gradual decline in cases, with around 45,000 cases reported for 21 days before any meaningful drop in daily cases,” Ghosh said. 51 cases have been detected. New cases in the top 15 districts, which are mostly urban, rose again in June. But the good thing is that their mortality rate is stable for three months. On the other hand, the share of rural districts in new cases has been refusing to decline significantly since July 2020, when it exceeded 45 per cent and has fluctuated since then. “Vaccination is the only The answer seems to be.’
“Total vaccination is low in rural areas of the country”
India has started giving more than 40 lakh vaccination doses per day. States such as Rajasthan, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Kerala and Uttarakhand have already given both vaccines to a large percentage of the population above 60 years, but the overall immunization is low in rural areas, the report said. Tamil Nadu, Punjab, North States, Assam, Bihar and Jharkhand have a low proportion of people above 45 years of age. The report said that these states need to pick up the pace in vaccination.
“Measures like masks, social distancing and being COVID-appropriate are a must”
The Delta strain, which has been detected in the US, UK, China, Japan, Poland, Portugal, Russia and Switzerland for the second time in April and May, hit India. It is the predominant form in the UK and 95 per cent of cases are now being sequenced. Citing the example of countries that are properly immunized like the UK and Israel, Ghosh said, ‘no one can become complacent even after getting the vaccine’. Other measures such as masks, social distancing and being Kovid-appropriate are essential.
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